VOA Special English 英语学习研讨班 网站工作通报:UNSV.COM 已经重新更新 美国习惯用语流行美语 两个广受网友喜爱的栏目。新增的商务礼仪美语,美语咖啡屋,常速英语栏目12月4日上线。
VOA英语学习资源
VOA英语学习研讨班
英语专项能力论坛
英语考试论坛
英语教学论坛
英语学习圈
英语休闲娱乐论坛
网站服务指南
VOA Special EnglishECONOMICS REPORT - Using the 'Wisdom of Crowds' to Tell the Future
编辑:Webmaster -  创建:2005年11月13日 -  阅读: <推荐给好友> <加入收藏> <打印正文> <发表评论(0)> <上篇> <下篇>
ECONOMICS REPORT - Using the 'Wisdom of Crowds' to Tell the Future
VOA Special English配套节目资料下载  配套节目资料下载 VOA Special English配套节目资料下载常见问题解答 下载常见问题解答
节目资料名称下载位置
mp3.gif MP3 声音下载 (1.81 M) 中国电信·南京
ram.gif Real 声音下载 (615 K) 中国电信·南京
pdf.gif PDF 广播稿下载 (22 K) 中国电信·南京
下载提示:请用右键点下载链接,在弹出菜单上选“目标另存为...”

I'm Doug Johnson with the VOA Special English Economics Report.

Intrade is a trading exchange for politics, current events and all sorts of other future happenings. It is similar in some ways to a futures market. But its contracts are only for small amounts. And they do not offer price protection. Instead, Intrade can be seen as a place to test the wisdom of crowds.

"The Wisdom of Crowds" is the name of a two thousand four book by James Surowiecki. He argues that large groups often make better decisions than a few experts. Intrade is credited, for example, with correctly choosing how all fifty states would vote in the American presidential election last year.

A wise-looking group?
A wise-looking group?

Still, the Irish company that owns Intrade and two other Web sites recently got into trouble in the United States. On October fourth, a federal agency settled a case with the Trade Exchange Network Limited.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission found that the company had offered some kinds of contracts banned by the agency. The company did not admit or deny it, but agreed to pay a fine of one hundred fifty thousand dollars.

Commodity futures involve widely traded goods like oil, grain, energy and gold.

Futures trading requires two kinds of traders. One wants to protect against price changes, the other wants to profit from them. It can be highly complex. But imagine a farmer is worried about soybean prices. The farmer thinks prices will rise in the future -- but has a crop to sell now. Say the current price is five dollars a bushel.

The farmer can purchase a contract to buy (yes, buy) fifty thousand bushels of soybeans at the current price, but not for three months.

In three months, the market price is six dollars. The farmer can now use the contract to buy the soybeans at five dollars a bushel. The farmer does not get the fifty thousand bushels. Instead, the farmer gets fifty thousand dollars -- the difference between the market price and the contract price.

How? Well, the seller of the contract thought soybean prices would go down. When the price went up, the seller was responsible for the full market value.

Had prices dropped, the farmer would have lost only the money to buy the contract, a small part of the full value. All buying and selling on an futures exchange takes place through a single organization, a clearinghouse. Real goods are rarely exchanged, only money.

This VOA Special English Economics Report was written by Mario Ritter. I'm Doug Johnson.









UNSV.COM 淘宝网店
版权所有©2003-2008 Ultra Network Service 保留所有权利。 苏ICP证:苏B2-20070025